Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Midpoint: 0.7%
Status: Active
Last update: 6 hours ago
Market signal
Confidence low (26.6%)Top 1 share56.5%Top 5 share86.6%
Crowd probability0.7%Smart money probability69.5%Probability gap+68.9%
Top traders
YES | 56.5% | $4,900 | 0.97 | 36.7%·medium | |
YES | 13.0% | $735 | 1.00 | 72.5%·high | |
NO | 7.8% | $331 | 0.99 | 33.4%·low | |
NO | 5.3% | $296 | 0.93 | 32.5%·low | |
NO | 4.0% | $120 | 1.00 | 27.3%·low | |
NO | 3.9% | $117 | 1.00 | 29.9%·low | |
NO | 3.6% | $102 | 0.99 | 29.3%·low | |
NO | 3.4% | $179 | 0.92 | 32.6%·low | |
NO | 2.0% | $275 | 0.73 | 32.2%·low | |
NO | 0.5% | $370 | 0.49 | 34.7%·medium |