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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Midpoint: 8.7%

Status: Active

Last update: 1 day ago

Market signal

Confidence high (93.1%)
Top 1 share4.5%Top 5 share19.8%
Crowd probability8.5%Smart money probability5.0%Probability gap-3.4%

Top traders

Top traders shaping the market signal
videlake
0x6ae157...bc1e7e
467 positions · 366 markets · $4.3M volume · 1.6y tracked
NO
4.5%$148,5731.00
52.6%·medium
weaklei
0x99dd40...544303
198 positions · 193 markets · $7.0M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
4.3%$183,2441.00
50.1%·medium
pmcb
0xa56902...8d96ec
59 positions · 59 markets · $1.0M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
4.0%$19,1731.00
50.6%·medium
momo513
0xcdf822...54b8ea
113 positions · 106 markets · $505.6K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
3.6%$9,1301.00
65.8%·medium
YatSen
0x5bffcf...d6ffbe
247 positions · 198 markets · $63.5M volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
3.4%$1,098,1071.00
39.4%·medium
SheldonLuis
0x96df00...681f97
172 positions · 166 markets · $97.1K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
3.2%$18,2601.00
42.2%·medium
tony90125
0x397e86...81fd1d
100 positions · 100 markets · $244.2K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
3.1%$11,6661.00
49.9%·medium
huatimus
0x7a1849...0cd1c9
86 positions · 86 markets · $347.9K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
3.1%$9,1301.00
65.9%·medium
th2
0xa16354...6ade8d
181 positions · 168 markets · $467.9K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
2.7%$8,2171.00
52.1%·medium
testwallet4
0xa8aa73...0ddd0e
573 positions · 568 markets · $163.4K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
2.7%$5,4781.00
63.4%·medium
6161friends
0x6b3ea4...8b12a6
79 positions · 79 markets · $324.9K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
2.5%$7,3411.00
51.8%·medium
BearinSpring
0x37317c...6efb76
93 positions · 89 markets · $76.8K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
2.3%$5,4781.00
53.0%·medium
MirAsifRodeni
0x94379d...cae75f
463 positions · 455 markets · $135.3K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
2.1%$2,7391.00
69.8%·high
budu100
0x43b4e4...2aec9c
82 positions · 77 markets · $1.0M volume · 10mo tracked
NO
2.0%$5,6371.00
46.0%·medium
Charles0987
0x7f0cdf...68160c
186 positions · 183 markets · $300.7K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
1.8%$5,0221.00
43.8%·medium
realxijinping
0xae1d7b...a550e7
96 positions · 91 markets · $44.0K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
1.5%$13,5091.00
23.1%·low
anonguy
0xd92de8...08d0a5
51 positions · 50 markets · $47.8K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
1.5%$2,1161.00
57.2%·medium
NotOver
0x17792f...c94822
193 positions · 191 markets · $1.3M volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
1.5%$2,7391.00
61.5%·medium
chriszyy3
0x052f41...1e53fb
165 positions · 165 markets · $3.0M volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
1.5%$6,3301.00
61.7%·medium
charliealmanack
0xa3a39a...c2c2f9
150 positions · 147 markets · $1.9M volume · 5mo tracked
YES
1.5%$4,3451.00
53.8%·medium
lenny4878
0x753c9d...4ce3ad
90 positions · 90 markets · $43.8K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
1.5%$13,1911.00
22.4%·low
2100m
0xdf5fed...eaa1e3
70 positions · 70 markets · $293.5K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
1.4%$2,5491.00
49.5%·medium
bigshoot
0xb96a01...48000b
162 positions · 142 markets · $967.3K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
1.3%$3,4551.00
38.5%·medium
0x234e7768AC81b5E78c64299fF035384B424f240b-1770649961553
0x234e77...4f240b
103 positions · 103 markets · $121.5K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
1.2%$1,6231.00
58.5%·medium
0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413
0xdafd27...a65ffb
179 positions · 170 markets · $358.3K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
1.2%$2,1001.00
68.4%·high
Yiren
0xf3ea14...6a3039
156 positions · 151 markets · $18.9K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
1.2%$1,9791.00
45.8%·medium
rain-maker
0x978899...c947b1
62 positions · 61 markets · $27.5K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
1.1%$1,0581.00
65.5%·medium
Mriz96
0x8c3bee...59e573
101 positions · 97 markets · $84.3K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
1.1%$1,4611.00
59.6%·medium
predict000r
0x737175...64cade
276 positions · 270 markets · $136.5K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
1.1%$9131.00
68.1%·high
datperson
0x5d2f7b...6324de
109 positions · 108 markets · $119.8K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
1.0%$1,0041.00
57.6%·medium
wohenku
0x7437da...bade1a
132 positions · 130 markets · $24.3K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
1.0%$1,3621.00
48.7%·medium
imakebigbets
0x09e383...a748ac
389 positions · 381 markets · $907.4K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
1.0%$1,1811.00
70.0%·high
Orion96
0x3069c1...95f8ef
319 positions · 304 markets · $406.9K volume · 4y tracked
NO
0.9%$1,0141.00
71.6%·high
xiaojiren
0x537263...e74b1f
110 positions · 105 markets · $140.2K volume · 10mo tracked
NO
0.9%$9131.00
63.1%·medium
UnderwriterGCR
0x771d7c...4b440e
227 positions · 226 markets · $572.8K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.9%$1,8261.00
39.4%·medium
Cy666
0xe25e25...7f8440
245 positions · 237 markets · $10.7K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
0.8%$4191.00
69.7%·high
d78ak3v
0x504f44...0e536a
251 positions · 223 markets · $36.6K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.8%$4971.00
62.4%·medium
flyhamburger
0xf2633e...009ef4
72 positions · 72 markets · $6.1K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.8%$5271.00
59.3%·medium
belka.game
0x06e167...bd8f7e
87 positions · 86 markets · $5.2K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
0.8%$6211.00
53.7%·medium
LB1T
0xa5a46a...4d84a0
221 positions · 220 markets · $17.4K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.7%$3121.00
71.8%·high
ChuanPu
0x69990b...9ff83b
197 positions · 194 markets · $8.5K volume · 1.6y tracked
NO
0.7%$3161.00
69.3%·high
kevtp
0xdc4b06...43dbca
280 positions · 273 markets · $2.0M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.7%$1,8261.00
69.2%·high
0x6abe7704bd2c9812E1f74A6B01a61AC7368ED6a5-1744064218199
0x6abe77...8ed6a5
529 positions · 453 markets · $409.0K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.7%$4571.00
72.1%·high
fasa1
0xd9be57...427517
191 positions · 151 markets · $21.3K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.6%$2741.00
68.3%·high
0x2674Df990125Bf5b2b63B337a9301A56c155dD25-1768373766654
0x2674df...55dd25
56 positions · 54 markets · $12.0K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.6%$1,3360.94
39.6%·medium
AuthenticDemigod
0x7487d9...b6fc0c
72 positions · 64 markets · $65.7K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.6%$7301.00
65.7%·medium
Lmbdiamond47
0xc291f8...320ef5
134 positions · 132 markets · $135.2K volume · 3mo tracked
YES
0.6%$4891.00
50.6%·medium
99985POP
0xa6ab60...65b5f4
119 positions · 115 markets · $17.1K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.6%$9500.99
36.9%·medium
MilliChad
0x0b8baf...9d2183
224 positions · 220 markets · $72.3K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
0.6%$3651.00
61.3%·medium
x26
0x5b9115...222709
658 positions · 596 markets · $3.0M volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.6%$5481.00
67.9%·high
bad2betbet
0x305a60...de5392
197 positions · 195 markets · $6.8K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.6%$8971.00
34.7%·medium
NeevS
0x30b2dd...2e1a36
311 positions · 309 markets · $26.3K volume · 10mo tracked
NO
0.6%$2051.00
72.6%·high
chenchenwingo
0xee824b...1d1965
105 positions · 105 markets · $10.1K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.6%$2281.00
67.6%·high
nefelibate
0x6c5c0e...37df53
331 positions · 237 markets · $11.4K volume · 24d tracked
NO
0.6%$2001.00
71.7%·high
ribenren01
0x4d9370...d6c671
175 positions · 171 markets · $18.6K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.6%$3470.97
65.2%·medium
splash886
0x3b6214...a2728a
67 positions · 64 markets · $41.5K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.5%$7301.00
53.6%·medium
hhg666j323
0xe8bd6d...296504
238 positions · 196 markets · $20.1K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.5%$1831.00
68.5%·high
hzxs7766
0xda46f9...96cb3b
104 positions · 103 markets · $26.7K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.5%$2991.00
53.2%·medium
PD7
0xe83f94...d9a43b
79 positions · 78 markets · $7.1K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
0.5%$3311.00
50.1%·medium
DushBad
0xea9bba...d70fd2
72 positions · 69 markets · $30.7K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.5%$3951.00
44.9%·medium
0x34CC21D76C30791Cf344869579B23d6e1F53d703-1771910412076
0x34cc21...53d703
166 positions · 164 markets · $13.6K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.5%$2011.00
68.8%·high
flynn888
0xc4263c...22ac6e
80 positions · 79 markets · $10.4K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.4%$3091.00
44.4%·medium
Talophex
0xd0db79...67b117
446 positions · 442 markets · $604.5K volume · 5y tracked
NO
0.4%$4571.00
71.7%·high
gtowagger
0x86399b...c8fb86
1491 positions · 1403 markets · $434.5K volume · 6mo tracked
YES
0.4%$2621.00
47.7%·medium
Bitram
0x78f821...a3d385
732 positions · 729 markets · $10.3K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.4%$1001.00
76.1%·high
0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221
0xdf273e...6ae6e4
79 positions · 71 markets · $87.7K volume · 1mo tracked
NO
0.4%$4561.00
57.5%·medium
Firstblood
0x927253...f90a19
59 positions · 53 markets · $38.8K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.4%$3651.00
51.0%·medium
lonewolfcapital
0x4110ae...e01586
92 positions · 92 markets · $35.9K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.4%$2271.00
48.1%·medium
okok666
0xe9facf...157fe2
77 positions · 74 markets · $4.6K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
0.4%$2471.00
43.1%·medium
MaiMaiTi
0x3f228a...d33869
60 positions · 50 markets · $130.2K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.4%$1,1871.00
34.1%·medium
JanusApprentice
0x21c05d...664827
78 positions · 77 markets · $28.2K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.4%$3011.00
61.1%·medium
ArbitrageTaker
0x5e9250...db618a
88 positions · 88 markets · $51.7K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.4%$3651.00
65.1%·medium
Jonasssss
0x0e4e7d...975bf4
202 positions · 199 markets · $53.7K volume · 2y tracked
NO
0.3%$1831.00
65.8%·medium
AVV
0x23ed8c...5dded5
48 positions · 45 markets · $13.3K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.3%$2741.00
63.9%·medium
k1ngslayer
0xafa470...d90dfe
182 positions · 175 markets · $13.5K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1101.00
59.7%·medium
ZFR001
0xbb82e2...47c668
64 positions · 64 markets · $12.7K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.3%$4570.88
45.6%·medium
lauybob
0xb44288...36d6ee
181 positions · 172 markets · $12.6K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1021.00
70.3%·high
Communist2025
0xf6a255...c87cbb
125 positions · 119 markets · $24.7K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1281.00
62.2%·medium
M3M3M3
0xd979fe...646f8a
55 positions · 51 markets · $13.6K volume · 1.7y tracked
NO
0.3%$2741.00
41.5%·medium
StasPanda
0x7e5e42...f47315
243 positions · 233 markets · $1.8M volume · 2y tracked
YES
0.3%$8691.00
56.3%·medium
Onferni
0x4c2f8b...82d9de
97 positions · 95 markets · $13.9K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1241.00
57.0%·medium
rich22222222
0xea1e3b...a1189c
71 positions · 61 markets · $5.2K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.3%$3230.90
44.5%·medium
sanyicc
0x222e4a...e1b1e8
59 positions · 55 markets · $19.6K volume · 1.7y tracked
NO
0.3%$2741.00
52.4%·medium
bbobbi2
0x5266ac...cfaac8
160 positions · 141 markets · $40.1K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1831.00
43.7%·medium
2d1d7318-b632-4243-bf81-f05a4105b6e4
0x0054ee...ebcf1f
262 positions · 247 markets · $61.8K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.3%$1431.00
69.1%·high
BenthicorGanisms
0x123359...5ef7ab
103 positions · 100 markets · $10.8K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1101.00
64.3%·medium
www113
0x18f592...34126d
96 positions · 96 markets · $11.1K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1140.91
63.9%·medium
superfish
0xa81b46...46dd67
96 positions · 95 markets · $100.4K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$2001.00
33.2%·low
Stickeys
0x85e7e4...af5e49
66 positions · 64 markets · $31.4K volume · 1.5y tracked
YES
0.2%$2421.00
47.8%·medium
Freebird-LA
0xa4059a...9ca427
89 positions · 89 markets · $29.9K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1591.00
32.6%·low
CB-Compound
0xbc6c65...77287c
114 positions · 114 markets · $51.3K volume · 1.7y tracked
YES
0.2%$1371.00
57.3%·medium
xinxin66
0xd23d61...681675
54 positions · 51 markets · $11.7K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.2%$1831.00
53.4%·medium
Jenny163
0x1b7197...6e47a4
70 positions · 70 markets · $6.6K volume · 4y tracked
NO
0.2%$1531.00
50.4%·medium
anas10
0xb1fa1a...f91a14
118 positions · 112 markets · $4.1M volume · 10mo tracked
YES
0.2%$2,1901.00
26.1%·low
leoleoleo678
0x409f98...8a155d
137 positions · 137 markets · $67.0K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1831.00
68.7%·high
dannyboy24
0xb0c3a0...a6a7b6
77 positions · 76 markets · $39.3K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.2%$1831.00
48.2%·medium
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c215...2e2ab0
80 positions · 80 markets · $4.1M volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.2%$1,5731.00
56.8%·medium
PTK888
0x771265...691aa3
79 positions · 77 markets · $14.9K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.2%$1071.00
60.0%·medium
jiudubishu
0x4e521c...2b44e7
320 positions · 264 markets · $89.4K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1021.00
67.0%·high
0xfa394a...83977f
833 positions · 742 markets · $11.6M volume · 8mo tracked
NO
0.2%$3650.99
70.1%·high
bc7g
0x6df1bd...54ea12
166 positions · 162 markets · $661.7K volume · 1.7y tracked
YES
0.2%$5181.00
65.8%·medium
woahnow
0x3d2887...18cd21
60 positions · 59 markets · $192.2K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
0.2%$5480.99
27.4%·low
wok9996783
0x894cde...671c16
45 positions · 37 markets · $16.5K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.2%$2630.97
44.9%·medium
lastblademon
0x2a55ed...9cdde6
104 positions · 101 markets · $11.6K volume · 12mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1041.00
26.6%·low
gorillavally
0xc016f6...68cf73
81 positions · 77 markets · $29.7K volume · 5mo tracked
YES
0.2%$1241.00
59.7%·medium
1346uyr
0x7d1665...e109be
67 positions · 66 markets · $21.7K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1191.00
22.5%·low
JeanPormanove
0xc86d25...3edcbc
57 positions · 56 markets · $61.2K volume · 1.9y tracked
NO
0.1%$1831.00
36.8%·medium
hetlock
0x70833f...a349f9
112 positions · 111 markets · $81.2K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.1%$1071.00
38.3%·medium
fastviking
0x8d0c61...7d5839
78 positions · 78 markets · $2.4M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.1%$6630.92
51.0%·medium
Fishcook
0x1767e1...befd39
48 positions · 43 markets · $69.4K volume · 12mo tracked
NO
0.1%$2221.00
32.0%·low
bigtoetiger
0xa7c1f9...8e0193
91 positions · 90 markets · $153.2K volume · 1.5y tracked
YES
0.1%$1581.00
35.5%·medium
krerom
0xf883c2...eaca6d
48 positions · 48 markets · $31.2K volume · 3mo tracked
YES
0.1%$1051.00
42.2%·medium
FortuneTella
0x9f8d27...83edbe
178 positions · 174 markets · $329.9K volume · 2.0y tracked
YES
0.1%$1231.00
43.3%·medium
vhjbkj
0x94f625...cbbac0
95 positions · 95 markets · $19.6K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1010.75
64.3%·medium
smtm
0x20e233...639301
66 positions · 39 markets · $51.4K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1830.88
61.4%·medium
AlohaYES
0xcc42b1...8e6deb
58 positions · 55 markets · $9.4K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1010.78
26.7%·low
GoldenFive
0x38fe80...d2e150
60 positions · 58 markets · $282.4K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.0%$1031.00
54.4%·medium
SJJ3
0x95ceee...900527
48 positions · 41 markets · $21.3K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.0%$2540.64
34.5%·medium
JX.
0xfc42ee...4c2a78
470 positions · 271 markets · $75.0K volume · 12mo tracked
NO
0.0%$9130.41
32.4%·low
DegenOnChainTest
0x87ffec...5c6632
224 positions · 217 markets · $2.5M volume · 3mo tracked
YES
0.0%$1740.65
26.2%·low