Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Midpoint: 0.7%
Status: Active
Last update: 5 hours ago
Market signal
Confidence medium (40.4%)Top 1 share14.0%Top 5 share47.7%
Crowd probability0.7%Smart money probability47.5%Probability gap+46.9%
Top traders
YES | 14.0% | $176 | 1.00 | 44.5%·medium | |
YES | 11.4% | $187 | 0.96 | 41.7%·medium | |
YES | 7.8% | $169 | 0.87 | 44.8%·medium | |
YES | 7.3% | $158 | 0.97 | 27.6%·low | |
NO | 7.0% | $294 | 1.00 | 35.9%·medium | |
NO | 6.8% | $295 | 1.00 | 33.2%·low | |
NO | 6.0% | $233 | 0.97 | 33.9%·low | |
NO | 5.9% | $166 | 1.00 | 35.4%·medium | |
NO | 4.6% | $203 | 0.95 | 34.8%·medium | |
NO | 4.6% | $134 | 1.00 | 35.4%·medium | |
NO | 4.5% | $143 | 1.00 | 29.5%·low | |
NO | 4.4% | $123 | 1.00 | 34.8%·medium | |
NO | 4.3% | $145 | 1.00 | 32.1%·low | |
YES | 4.1% | $136 | 0.83 | 31.2%·low | |
YES | 2.8% | $171 | 0.75 | 29.3%·low | |
NO | 2.5% | $289 | 0.78 | 33.2%·low | |
NO | 1.9% | $237 | 0.75 | 31.3%·low |