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Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Midpoint: 18.5%

Status: Active

Last update: 5 hours ago

Market signal

Confidence high (93.6%)
Top 1 share3.7%Top 5 share17.0%
Crowd probability18.5%Smart money probability5.0%Probability gap-13.5%

Top traders

Top traders shaping the market signal
pemul1s
0xc65fa5...60a150
62 positions · 62 markets · $552.9K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
3.7%$26,4041.00
57.9%·medium
cryptoaxel
0xf29ff5...945cca
78 positions · 77 markets · $727.3K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
3.6%$20,3731.00
59.4%·medium
charliealmanack
0xa3a39a...c2c2f9
150 positions · 147 markets · $1.9M volume · 5mo tracked
NO
3.4%$52,9691.00
53.8%·medium
videlake
0x6ae157...bc1e7e
494 positions · 380 markets · $4.6M volume · 1.6y tracked
NO
3.3%$34,5961.00
52.4%·medium
hose
0xcc2982...457774
171 positions · 168 markets · $1.8M volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
3.1%$12,0361.00
66.2%·medium
0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413
0xdafd27...a65ffb
184 positions · 175 markets · $370.1K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
2.9%$10,1621.00
68.9%·high
Macks22
0x1057e7...449ea5
116 positions · 113 markets · $2.9M volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
2.9%$16,2981.00
54.2%·medium
BTCGOOSE
0xa9e64c...b91dc2
336 positions · 309 markets · $3.1M volume · 7mo tracked
YES
2.8%$10,2781.00
69.3%·high
0x606fFc68a29eBf92F9dc1d041FeC5d0127571083-1769265164411
0x606ffc...571083
70 positions · 64 markets · $324.0K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
2.6%$40,7450.92
56.1%·medium
momo513
0xcdf822...54b8ea
114 positions · 107 markets · $505.7K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
2.5%$8,1671.00
65.8%·medium
YatSen
0x5bffcf...d6ffbe
249 positions · 200 markets · $63.5M volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
2.5%$210,4811.00
39.0%·medium
Ryxon21
0x3dca85...e23c13
334 positions · 290 markets · $1.3M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
2.2%$5,3901.00
70.3%·high
sdhyky
0x264cbb...6bbaca
469 positions · 366 markets · $4.6M volume · 10mo tracked
NO
2.0%$9,7791.00
46.5%·medium
jangdo
0x0ae9b5...2b5f74
116 positions · 111 markets · $248.1K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
1.9%$5,0201.00
62.6%·medium
yeeCharles
0x118198...e29e90
116 positions · 108 markets · $181.5K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
1.8%$4,0751.00
66.7%·medium
Nobody23041
0x45cc78...d26400
427 positions · 419 markets · $334.1K volume · 4y tracked
NO
1.7%$3,0971.00
71.2%·high
rulki
0x8e88e1...ac0670
82 positions · 82 markets · $386.2K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
1.6%$5,1401.00
57.4%·medium
adonpoli
0x026036...750d88
232 positions · 222 markets · $3.2M volume · 9mo tracked
NO
1.6%$8,1491.00
65.8%·medium
PancraceRoyer
0x29d337...2cb2ed
145 positions · 140 markets · $845.9K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
1.5%$4,0751.00
56.8%·medium
dannyboy24
0xb0c3a0...a6a7b6
77 positions · 76 markets · $39.6K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
1.4%$4,8081.00
48.2%·medium
Bet1nthedark
0x8b881c...e55f5e
117 positions · 113 markets · $797.5K volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
1.3%$26,8550.80
51.5%·medium
Nikitanrg
0x79a8a5...a4d63f
82 positions · 81 markets · $114.9K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
1.3%$2,5671.00
60.7%·medium
wuerjiu
0xfd166a...be0be8
174 positions · 169 markets · $316.3K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
1.2%$3,3610.99
51.2%·medium
0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736
0x46a121...3e2736
391 positions · 369 markets · $249.3K volume · 2y tracked
NO
1.2%$1,5481.00
72.5%·high
0x6abe7704bd2c9812E1f74A6B01a61AC7368ED6a5-1744064218199
0x6abe77...8ed6a5
531 positions · 455 markets · $409.3K volume · 12mo tracked
NO
1.2%$1,5481.00
71.7%·high
0xD2391C34B74e347718894aDcF3416120362b0230-1721955380699
0xd2391c...2b0230
129 positions · 123 markets · $41.5K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
1.2%$1,8301.00
64.1%·medium
Hechuan
0x659c97...2ca086
319 positions · 315 markets · $55.9K volume · 7mo tracked
NO
1.2%$1,5551.00
69.7%·high
Ultimatetrader69
0x5e29b3...2e9c17
59 positions · 47 markets · $48.3K volume · 27d tracked
NO
1.2%$2,4041.00
55.4%·medium
nellojello
0xa8ae9f...a38eb7
154 positions · 153 markets · $108.3K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
1.1%$5,7041.00
35.8%·medium
Feint
0xd6a39c...2a9738
1211 positions · 1172 markets · $796.0K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
1.0%$1,2221.00
69.9%·high
O3O
0x76f1ac...28bc8f
141 positions · 128 markets · $454.5K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
1.0%$2,4451.00
63.1%·medium
flamingfish
0x217eac...f13a4c
68 positions · 68 markets · $96.4K volume · 5y tracked
NO
1.0%$2,0371.00
52.7%·medium
scarletea
0xd72c7f...ff0bc7
48 positions · 46 markets · $14.9K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.9%$1,2881.00
61.8%·medium
dball
0x0b4837...b79e7a
52 positions · 48 markets · $281.4K volume · 2y tracked
NO
0.9%$4,0201.00
53.8%·medium
0x729a63A1616691767fe6f1d5197877751674C966-1740339715138
0x729a63...74c966
243 positions · 240 markets · $213.1K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
0.8%$1,1411.00
69.0%·high
AnCap.Investor
0xc6f71e...fc87ae
394 positions · 380 markets · $99.3K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.8%$1,8740.98
46.7%·medium
FedFan
0xdd0a22...a2c642
62 positions · 58 markets · $2.1M volume · 1.7y tracked
NO
0.8%$8,1491.00
50.2%·medium
Redacted86
0xfd7226...30f902
84 positions · 83 markets · $55.6K volume · 5mo tracked
YES
0.7%$5,3971.00
23.7%·low
0x9b89E55522DFB598C2d8c7dce7E216221dEF99C9-1769467185131
0x9b89e5...ef99c9
81 positions · 79 markets · $68.4K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.7%$9921.00
55.8%·medium
escaladh
0xd784c5...24b455
174 positions · 170 markets · $8.4K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
0.7%$8880.98
58.0%·medium
TACOTRADER
0xf04cfd...4169f0
60 positions · 59 markets · $58.2K volume · 8mo tracked
NO
0.7%$3,7900.83
52.3%·medium
SpicyBrwny
0x88aa56...c6ea6f
244 positions · 228 markets · $218.7K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.6%$8151.00
56.5%·medium
0xc01Ff7687F1380629B83fCd7b6767875C399cD8e-1771186644539
0xc01ff7...99cd8e
142 positions · 132 markets · $622.6K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.6%$1,4211.00
47.3%·medium
nobody666
0x7d267b...51ccb8
159 positions · 150 markets · $54.8K volume · 1.1y tracked
NO
0.6%$5071.00
65.1%·medium
21crypto
0x9e7806...a91a6f
103 positions · 103 markets · $71.4K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.6%$9671.00
70.3%·high
huoone
0x038844...51072c
81 positions · 81 markets · $39.3K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.6%$9361.00
46.9%·medium
mihaii1
0x1cb02b...09f493
92 positions · 89 markets · $58.7K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.6%$8901.00
46.9%·medium
linyuzhi
0xccdf09...ecb8a7
155 positions · 150 markets · $23.7K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.6%$4811.00
63.6%·medium
green9
0x6d7974...38ae69
114 positions · 113 markets · $105.3K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.6%$8151.00
59.1%·medium
juniper
0x0db950...bbd97c
113 positions · 113 markets · $32.4K volume · 1.0y tracked
NO
0.6%$8151.00
48.7%·medium
ShallanDavar
0x76451b...d03117
1198 positions · 1106 markets · $5.1M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.6%$2,4451.00
67.2%·high
0x234e7768AC81b5E78c64299fF035384B424f240b-1770649961553
0x234e77...4f240b
103 positions · 103 markets · $121.5K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.5%$9821.00
58.0%·medium
prawdziwy
0xcf5c9b...6a3912
375 positions · 343 markets · $59.7K volume · 1.7y tracked
NO
0.5%$3261.00
70.2%·high
topsonrock
0xb3c801...bec1c9
653 positions · 622 markets · $1.9M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.5%$8151.00
68.8%·high
Art0888
0x161a51...09b515
305 positions · 296 markets · $153.8K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.5%$5991.00
71.9%·high
RaphCrypto
0x187365...5d37b6
256 positions · 247 markets · $813.5K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.5%$9780.92
55.1%·medium
ynsider
0x3258bb...fe5650
59 positions · 58 markets · $1.6M volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.5%$7,6260.87
54.9%·medium
Peanut-Catharsis
0xcee0ce...913777
109 positions · 107 markets · $16.9K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.5%$4931.00
54.3%·medium
smartLikepole
0x8b498b...71acc4
115 positions · 114 markets · $6.1K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.5%$5361.00
51.4%·medium
64MGX75VLQ
0xf4d0b6...be4637
662 positions · 631 markets · $1.1M volume · 10mo tracked
NO
0.5%$4891.00
67.3%·high
unsc
0x31122a...c509a8
68 positions · 67 markets · $322.6K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
0.5%$1,6301.00
58.7%·medium
superforcaster52
0xe347f5...af70f6
68 positions · 68 markets · $4.4K volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
0.5%$3351.00
60.8%·medium
0x4bD8d58a18CeEa9F82bc512505554711f2Ea5c53-1719957425788
0x4bd8d5...ea5c53
362 positions · 359 markets · $291.5K volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
0.5%$1,6300.80
67.9%·high
brownp
0xbe15ad...30307d
61 positions · 61 markets · $3.0K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.4%$3711.00
54.5%·medium
quick-turtle
0xf434e8...99c6aa
730 positions · 695 markets · $585.0K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.4%$4471.00
72.1%·high
Thombg
0x09e463...0b93aa
61 positions · 61 markets · $114.5K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.4%$1,1031.00
65.2%·medium
Miojinho
0x64dbeb...a98c8e
135 positions · 126 markets · $620.3K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.4%$5,7040.71
62.1%·medium
Celt
0x9a8ddb...bdd29e
84 positions · 83 markets · $6.1K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.4%$2911.00
59.4%·medium
elpredictoooor
0xa27a16...e8b546
110 positions · 108 markets · $132.3K volume · 2y tracked
NO
0.4%$4481.00
46.6%·medium
Morbuu
0xf3d442...3584a1
553 positions · 511 markets · $652.4K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.4%$4071.00
68.2%·high
naysayer
0xbfd600...3aa888
152 positions · 149 markets · $34.9K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.4%$2951.00
68.2%·high
CrazyBang
0x8138b9...a03c88
78 positions · 67 markets · $617.2K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.4%$1,6301.00
51.6%·medium
acc-5
0xf7d831...2f6082
666 positions · 630 markets · $158.2K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.4%$8300.86
57.7%·medium
Mattia.Ilenotti
0x09343a...84f376
408 positions · 347 markets · $142.4K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.4%$2651.00
66.2%·medium
eratoxtenex
0x0b651d...e0013e
212 positions · 201 markets · $93.6K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.4%$4071.00
70.3%·high
MemeDream
0x67473b...5aa64f
504 positions · 484 markets · $808.4K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.4%$5281.00
41.9%·medium
0xE737C2906d5Ab0B37f61A41FD1a8d4C3df75060D-1737634766194
0xe737c2...75060d
80 positions · 80 markets · $8.7K volume · 1.0y tracked
NO
0.4%$2271.00
65.8%·medium
PrettyFox
0xf8aaf1...b61342
110 positions · 109 markets · $166.8K volume · 1.7y tracked
NO
0.4%$8151.00
49.4%·medium
ILikeCheese
0x90e954...56de83
420 positions · 405 markets · $13.3K volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
0.4%$1981.00
60.2%·medium
fractaliz
0x82aed3...a34325
224 positions · 212 markets · $103.9K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.4%$4971.00
54.5%·medium
JetXBTcn
0xa206f7...8b2cad
150 positions · 136 markets · $3.6M volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.4%$21,7690.58
48.9%·medium
0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920
0xc4a752...f9898a
77 positions · 76 markets · $60.1K volume · 1mo tracked
NO
0.4%$3011.00
57.7%·medium
Monopolii
0x571308...8fe818
273 positions · 240 markets · $58.2K volume · 9mo tracked
YES
0.3%$2431.00
58.9%·medium
understatement
0x6d55ca...4504b8
134 positions · 132 markets · $21.8K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.3%$2011.00
58.9%·medium
Forfunzies
0x16c837...6dcb07
109 positions · 108 markets · $30.2K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.3%$2491.00
64.9%·medium
RemusCerneala
0x5b7ae2...93d35b
201 positions · 198 markets · $27.2K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.3%$2991.00
46.0%·medium
slavicrunes
0xe1ae41...2361ed
115 positions · 114 markets · $11.9K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.3%$2141.00
53.5%·medium
ChuanPu
0x69990b...9ff83b
197 positions · 194 markets · $8.5K volume · 1.6y tracked
NO
0.3%$1241.00
69.3%·high
Ross1212
0x89e055...9a9412
727 positions · 655 markets · $391.6K volume · 1.0y tracked
NO
0.3%$3261.00
73.7%·high
Oferp
0x6d930c...08f70a
148 positions · 148 markets · $43.2K volume · 1.4y tracked
YES
0.3%$2311.00
57.4%·medium
rahany
0x0d16ef...c19f6c
74 positions · 74 markets · $5.2K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1631.00
71.4%·high
guise
0x81c5e5...166355
242 positions · 207 markets · $23.9K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1731.00
55.3%·medium
NeevS
0x30b2dd...2e1a36
313 positions · 311 markets · $26.4K volume · 10mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1411.00
72.4%·high
Crazykekbr
0x300f73...61d366
622 positions · 581 markets · $124.4K volume · 1.2y tracked
NO
0.3%$1941.00
72.0%·high
xiaohuanxiong1
0xda465f...b0f83b
164 positions · 156 markets · $16.2K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1461.00
71.3%·high
sayanghae
0x282687...baf448
57 positions · 52 markets · $41.2K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.3%$4911.00
51.0%·medium
AIfan
0x6ae383...90c652
76 positions · 72 markets · $5.7K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1681.00
50.8%·medium
Saotome
0x430fb4...235c08
214 positions · 200 markets · $54.9K volume · 4mo tracked
NO
0.3%$2691.00
48.6%·medium
0x7F27A7DCfE856270C9c051C481302f7EC6b38776-1758846285697
0x7f27a7...b38776
275 positions · 269 markets · $20.7K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1450.99
54.9%·medium
lonewolfcapital
0x4110ae...e01586
92 positions · 92 markets · $36.2K volume · 1.2y tracked
YES
0.3%$1851.00
48.1%·medium
mazzaccone
0x6a1868...9dfe45
105 positions · 104 markets · $24.5K volume · 6mo tracked
YES
0.3%$2181.00
57.8%·medium
Burnzz
0x06ce82...5b5fa8
67 positions · 66 markets · $7.9K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.3%$1631.00
48.2%·medium
SummerWind
0xdb22a1...237ef9
117 positions · 117 markets · $26.3K volume · 1.8y tracked
NO
0.3%$1811.00
65.4%·medium
Ajatus10
0x019712...5070dc
59 positions · 58 markets · $11.1K volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.2%$2441.00
47.1%·medium
Adam96
0xa8f919...e99fae
143 positions · 135 markets · $25.7K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1971.00
58.2%·medium
0x9c123ff59eCEf0c2bcccc256830F19f2F4b8b99E-1767694797172
0x9c123f...b8b99e
76 positions · 75 markets · $27.0K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1871.00
53.4%·medium
enekestomi
0xed7e4f...eb2fe2
147 positions · 139 markets · $84.5K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.2%$2441.00
42.0%·medium
ericty
0xdb8c71...0460aa
57 positions · 57 markets · $9.8K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1901.00
52.9%·medium
0x6dD207D0eAe1b052e257c25A7C88cd5b04d18772-1721230223330
0x6dd207...d18772
88 positions · 83 markets · $21.4K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.2%$1631.00
56.8%·medium
0x545b65c2EFe6621044D66368389A51c98B824113-1730570392409
0x545b65...824113
127 positions · 124 markets · $26.6K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.2%$1541.00
35.3%·medium
Dutchland
0x203886...0b6161
87 positions · 76 markets · $87.2K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.2%$4100.99
46.5%·medium
PanKenny
0x71f10b...5cefe2
97 positions · 89 markets · $2.6K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.2%$1631.00
32.6%·low
IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII
0x40413b...33ca54
92 positions · 87 markets · $166.9K volume · 8mo tracked
NO
0.2%$3211.00
57.5%·medium
YouKnowHisName
0x65399c...e423ad
102 positions · 102 markets · $20.1K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.2%$1441.00
68.5%·high
Aleksei-Ivanovich
0xf0eec6...cc4b33
162 positions · 161 markets · $187.3K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.2%$4071.00
39.8%·medium
Siranox
0xf9fe14...d4d54e
122 positions · 117 markets · $16.1K volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.2%$2270.82
51.7%·medium
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c215...2e2ab0
80 positions · 80 markets · $4.1M volume · 1.3y tracked
NO
0.1%$1,5251.00
56.8%·medium
AlanYagami-T
0xe3d176...a4d312
77 positions · 70 markets · $70.9K volume · 5mo tracked
NO
0.1%$2171.00
48.8%·medium
NinjaPredictions
0xf26c5c...fbebe5
58 positions · 57 markets · $30.7K volume · 2mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1631.00
49.4%·medium
patspats
0x8d4fcd...d4bdfa
53 positions · 50 markets · $33.6K volume · 8mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1631.00
34.9%·medium
jofo
0xaa041c...9a66e7
61 positions · 57 markets · $25.8K volume · 1.7y tracked
NO
0.1%$1221.00
56.0%·medium
s0meone
0x2a9958...a0a499
83 positions · 80 markets · $1.0M volume · 6mo tracked
NO
0.1%$4181.00
27.9%·low
2-002
0xeb8033...0b2d88
48 positions · 48 markets · $36.7K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1990.99
63.2%·medium
2-1
0x0d2623...9ad57e
47 positions · 47 markets · $38.9K volume · 3mo tracked
NO
0.1%$2000.99
63.6%·medium
Degencrew
0x535155...6dc7ed
282 positions · 267 markets · $226.3K volume · 10mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1630.99
26.8%·low
nata45jlk3
0xc0402e...d8beac
88 positions · 82 markets · $381.3K volume · 16d tracked
YES
0.1%$1851.00
45.0%·medium
Str3sU
0xd71a00...bd78c9
253 positions · 235 markets · $322.7K volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.1%$1151.00
65.5%·medium
0xf86f074c2aA7191533c50C77899148494bCE256F-1769438581583
0xf86f07...ce256f
69 positions · 65 markets · $68.5K volume · 3mo tracked
YES
0.1%$1111.00
55.2%·medium
0x903221b1
0x903221...338717
64 positions · 54 markets · $3.2M volume · 5y tracked
NO
0.1%$8151.00
29.2%·low
0xc442D950bc7060c2aa018009BBA10a53BC868d9C-1772381162851
0xc442d9...868d9c
50 positions · 46 markets · $22.8K volume · 2mo tracked
YES
0.1%$1411.00
27.5%·low
CastleRock
0xfb6417...8eeb56
111 positions · 110 markets · $278.4K volume · 1.4y tracked
NO
0.1%$1631.00
39.2%·medium
arrrnay
0x0fa9ba...fa22eb
472 positions · 452 markets · $58.2K volume · 9mo tracked
NO
0.0%$2040.62
52.3%·medium
pkFire
0x2617d8...aeafc5
80 positions · 80 markets · $6.5K volume · 1.5y tracked
NO
0.0%$1960.60
56.4%·medium
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb81...563e4a
180 positions · 180 markets · $8.1M volume · 1.9y tracked
YES
0.0%$9250.79
39.1%·medium
vacoolaaa
0x464e56...d51a67
220 positions · 206 markets · $2.9M volume · 11mo tracked
NO
0.0%$4,0740.37
61.2%·medium